Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llaneros W vs Indep. Santa Fe W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Bello Horizonte
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Llaneros W play Indep. Santa Fe W in the Liga Women. Indep. Santa Fe W are favorites here. Recently, Llaneros W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Indep. Santa Fe W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Llaneros W won 0, Indep. Santa Fe W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Llaneros W and 1.31 for Indep. Santa Fe W. This points to a Indep. Santa Fe W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Llaneros W
6%
Draws
90%
Indep. Santa Fe W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Indep. Santa Fe W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Llaneros W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Indep. Santa Fe W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Llaneros W Clean Sheet 18%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llaneros W Indep. Santa Fe W
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:4
Jun 2, 2024 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1
May 23, 2023 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Llaneros W
2:0
May 19, 2022 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Llaneros W
4:0
May 15, 2022 Liga Women
Llaneros W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llaneros W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Indep. Santa Fe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viso Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zamorano M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llaneros W 10 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llaneros W Indep. Santa Fe W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros W scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Indep. Santa Fe W let in goals in 53% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Llaneros W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Indep. Santa Fe W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llaneros W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional W13110225:533
2Dep. Cali W13102129:632
3America de Cali W1392222:629
4Millonarios W1384128:728
5Indep. Santa Fe W1374223:925
6Inter Bogotá W1371519:1422
7Inter Palmira W1363412:1521
8Ind. Medellin W1361620:1519
9Orsomarso W1336413:1315
10Fortaleza W133469:1813
11Llaneros W133469:2113
12Junior W1325611:2111
13Bucaramanga W132299:338
14Once Caldas W131485:197
15Real Santander W130763:197
16Dep. Pasto W1303108:243