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Llanes vs Astur - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Alvarez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Llanes and Astur finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Llanes
35%
Draws
29%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Llanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Llanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Llanes taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Llanes Clean Sheet 15%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Astur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 3
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.3 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
1:0
Jan 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Llanes
2:2
Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
2:0
Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs Llanes
1:1
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Astur
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Astur Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 41 / 100
Astur 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Astur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Llanes scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Llanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS Astur
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
01 Nov
Llanes
1 : 0
Astur
24 Oct
Langreo
1 : 0
Llanes
18 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Andes CF
11 Oct
Aviles Stadium
2 : 1
Llanes
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
Page 1 of 6

Astur

(Away)
01 Nov
Llanes
1 : 0
Astur
25 Oct
Andes CF
3 : 3
Astur
18 Oct
Astur
1 : 1
Condal
11 Oct
Gijon Industrial
2 : 2
Astur
04 Oct
Astur
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 9 6 2 1 23:9 20
2 Gijon B 9 6 2 1 16:8 20
3 Caudal Deportivo 9 5 3 1 12:8 18
4 Lealtad 9 5 2 2 13:4 17
5 Condal 9 4 5 0 12:4 17
6 CD Mosconia 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
7 EI San Martin 9 4 3 2 13:13 15
8 Praviano 9 4 2 3 21:14 14
9 Gijon Industrial 9 4 2 3 15:11 14
10 Club Siero 9 4 0 5 11:12 12
11 CD Colunga 9 3 3 3 15:21 12
12 Langreo 9 2 3 4 8:11 9
13 Union Club Ceares 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
14 Aviles Stadium 9 2 2 5 6:13 8
15 Llanes 9 1 4 4 9:16 7
16 Astur 9 0 5 4 9:15 5
17 L Entregu CF 9 1 2 6 5:17 5
18 Andes CF 9 0 3 6 6:18 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)