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Llanes vs Candas CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Candas CF in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Candas CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Llanes
20%
Draws
58%
Candas CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Candas CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanes average 1.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Candas CF's 0.93.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Candas CF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Llanes Clean Sheet 19%
Candas CF Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes Candas CF
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.34 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:1
Jan 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Candas CF
0:1
Mar 4, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs Candas CF
2:2
Oct 12, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:0
Mar 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Candas CF vs Llanes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 32 / 100
Candas CF 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes Candas CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Candas CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Llanes scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Candas CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Llanes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
Page 1 of 6

Candas CF

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
0 : 1
Candas CF
04 May
Candas CF
0 : 0
Gijon Industrial
26 Apr
Universidad Oviedo
2 : 0
Candas CF
20 Apr
Candas CF
1 : 1
Andes CF
13 Apr
Real Aviles B
0 : 1
Candas CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)