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Llanes vs CD Colunga

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Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Llaca B.
59' Event
Diaz H.
77' Event
Vina A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Llanes and CD Colunga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Llanes
15%
Draws
21%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • CD Colunga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Llanes a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Llanes Clean Sheet 68%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes CD Colunga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Colunga
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Llanes
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Llanes
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Colunga
1:2
Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Llanes
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Llaca B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 59 / 100
CD Colunga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Colunga let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Llanes found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: CD Colunga has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS CD Colunga
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
03 May
Llanes
1 : 4
Covadonga
26 Apr
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
Llanes
19 Apr
Llanes
0 : 1
Llanera
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CD Colunga

(Away)
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3
EI San Martin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 29 4 1 71:18 91
2 Covadonga 34 25 5 4 88:24 80
3 Gijon B 34 19 10 5 79:29 67
4 Caudal Deportivo 34 20 6 8 59:39 66
5 CD Mosconia 34 16 7 11 46:29 55
6 EI San Martin 34 14 9 11 36:36 51
7 L Entregu CF 34 13 10 11 41:42 49
8 Union Club Ceares 34 12 9 13 39:40 45
9 Praviano 34 11 9 14 36:42 42
10 Club Siero 34 11 8 15 39:49 41
11 CD Colunga 34 10 9 15 38:59 39
12 Llanes 34 8 13 13 44:51 37
13 Aviles Stadium 34 6 15 13 21:40 33
14 Gijon Industrial 34 7 11 16 36:57 32
15 Lenense 34 7 11 16 36:58 32
16 Navarro 34 6 13 15 38:53 31
17 Tuilla 34 7 6 21 31:60 27
18 Real Titanico 34 3 9 22 22:74 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)