Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llanes vs CD Mosconia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Elena I.
16' Event
Rios S.
42' Event
Sanchez P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Llanes and CD Mosconia finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Mosconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanes
15%
Draws
85%
CD Mosconia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Mosconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Llanes haven't matched CD Mosconia's recent run of results.
  • CD Mosconia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Llanes Clean Sheet 16%
CD Mosconia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanes CD Mosconia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
2:1
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Mosconia vs Llanes
0:2
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Llanes vs CD Mosconia
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Canal Casado M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Mosconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Elena I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rios S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanes 15 / 100
CD Mosconia 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanes CD Mosconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Mosconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Llanes's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Difficult form: CD Mosconia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CD Mosconia conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Llanes VS CD Mosconia
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanes

(Home)
13 Sept
Gijon B
3 : 1
Llanes
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
Llanes
0 : 1
Gijon B
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
10 May
EI San Martin
1 : 0
Llanes
Page 1 of 7

CD Mosconia

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Llanes
1 : 5
CD Mosconia
29 Aug
CD Mosconia
1 : 4
Real Oviedo B
15 Aug
CD Mosconia
0 : 2
Real Aviles
24 May
Covadonga
2 : 1
CD Mosconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mosconia 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Condal 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
3 Caudal Deportivo 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Gijon B 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
5 CD Colunga 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
6 Covadonga 2 1 1 0 6:2 4
7 Club Siero 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Praviano 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Union Club Ceares 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Lealtad 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Gijon Industrial 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
12 L Entregu CF 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
13 Langreo 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
14 Andes CF 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
15 Astur 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
16 Aviles Stadium 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
17 Llanes 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
18 EI San Martin 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)