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Llangefni vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Jones A.
42' Event
Summers-Jones D.
73' Event
Summers-Jones D.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2021/2022 game between Llangefni and Holyhead finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holyhead.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Llangefni
15%
Draws
21%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llangefni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Holyhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Llangefni a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Holyhead have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Llangefni Clean Sheet 20%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llangefni Holyhead
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2022 Cymru North
Llangefni vs Holyhead
0:5
Aug 10, 2021 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Llangefni
2:0
Oct 2, 2010 FAW Welsh Cup
Holyhead vs Llangefni
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llangefni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Summers-Jones D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jones A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llangefni 36 / 100
Holyhead 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llangefni Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Llangefni scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Difficult form: Holyhead registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holyhead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llangefni

(Home)
21 Jun
Holywell Town FC
6 : 4
Llangefni
19 Oct
Denbigh
4 : 2
Llangefni
21 Sept
Llangefni
7 : 1
Gaerwen
17 Sept
Llangefni
1 : 2
Llandudno Albion
23 Apr
Llandudno FC
6 : 1
Llangefni
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Holyhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Airbus UK Broughton FC 28 23 3 2 85:23 72
2 Llandudno FC 28 20 3 5 55:21 63
3 Guilsfield 28 14 10 4 51:24 52
4 Holywell Town FC 28 15 5 8 68:36 50
5 Ruthin Town 28 15 4 9 51:34 49
6 Colwyn Bay 28 15 3 10 60:40 48
7 Holyhead 28 11 8 9 41:34 41
8 Buckley 28 11 7 10 48:48 40
9 Penrhyncoch 28 9 8 11 39:57 35
10 Conwy Borough 28 8 8 12 42:59 32
11 Gresford 28 8 7 13 39:42 31
12 Llanidloes Town 28 7 7 14 44:59 28
13 Prestatyn 28 5 5 18 34:68 20
14 Llangefni 28 3 6 19 19:70 15
15 Llanrhaeadr 28 2 4 22 23:84 10
16 Bangor City 0 0 0 0 0:0 -15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2022/2023 (Main)