Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-6, with St. Asaph advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llangefni
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Llangefni come out ahead of St. Asaph on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Llangefni have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Asaph, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Llangefni Clean Sheet 20%
St. Asaph Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llangefni | St. Asaph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 11 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 20 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.68 | 3.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 10, 2018 FAW Welsh Cup
Llangefni vs St. Asaph
5:1
Oct 4, 2014 FAW Welsh Cup
Llangefni vs St. Asaph
3:6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llangefni 31 / 100
St. Asaph 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llangefni St. Asaph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llangefni Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. Asaph has conceded goals in 82% of their last 11 outings.
These sides typically produce 7.50 goals when they meet.
Llangefni's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
St. Asaph lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Llangefni VS St. Asaph
0.63 Goals Scored 0.17
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.83
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Llangefni
(Home) 21 Jun
Holywell Town FC
6 : 4 Llangefni
19 Oct
Denbigh
4 : 2 Llangefni
21 Sept
Llangefni
7 : 1 Gaerwen
17 Sept
Llangefni
1 : 2 Llandudno Albion
23 Apr
Llandudno FC
6 : 1 Llangefni
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Llangefni
7 : 1 Gaerwen
17 Sept
Llangefni
1 : 2 Llandudno Albion
15 Apr
Llangefni
0 : 5 Holyhead
09 Apr
Llangefni
1 : 1 Ruthin Town
26 Mar
Llangefni
0 : 3 Holywell Town FC
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St. Asaph
(Away) 20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6 Bangor 1876
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0 St. Asaph
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2 Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1 Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
Page 1 of 3
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0 St. Asaph
10 Nov
Llangefni
5 : 1 St. Asaph
19 Oct
Llandudno Albion
3 : 4 St. Asaph
29 Nov
Gresford
5 : 0 St. Asaph
04 Oct
Llangefni
3 : 6 St. Asaph
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Carno FC 0
STM Sports 0
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 5
Sully Sports 2
Llwydcoed 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 9
Holywell Town FC 4
Hay St. Marys 2
Welshpool 0
Mold Alexandra 4
Waterloo Rovers 2
Llanuwchllyn 1
Ruthin Town 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Dinas Powys 0
Ton Pentre 0
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 3
Llay Welfare 1
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Llanfair United 3
Meliden 3
Rhydymwyn 0
Llangefni 3
St. Asaph 6
Caernarfon 4
Porthmadog 0
Penycae FC 1
Guilsfield 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llangollen 3
Llandrindod 2
Brynford 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Tiger Bay 3
Trefelin 2
Butetown FC 2
Dynamo Aber 4
Llanberis FC 6
Nantlle Vale FC 5
Llandudno FC 0
Caersws FC 1
Conwy Borough 2
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 0
Denbigh 3
Aberdare Town 4
Barry Town 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 4
Garden Village 9
AFC Porth 0
Canton 1
Risca United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 3
Cardiff Corries 1
Cambrian United 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Flint Town 1
Gaerwen 0
Llanidloes Town 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Llanelli 1
Taffs Well 0
Caerau Ely 3
Llanrhaeadr 4
Glan Conwy FC 2
Kerry 1
Brickfield Rangers 2
Marshfield 2
Tata Steel 1
Chepstow Town 0
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 4
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 0
Cornelly 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Haverfordwest 2
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Waterloo Rovers 0
Buckley 6
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Penybont 1
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Gresford 2
Llanfair United 1
Meliden 0
St. Asaph 1
Caernarfon 1
Guilsfield 0
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
Llangollen 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 5
Tiger Bay 3
Dynamo Aber 2
Llanberis FC 0
Caersws FC 3
Conwy Borough 5
Denbigh 0
Aberdare Town 1
Briton Ferry 5
Garden Village 2
Risca United 1
TBD -
Bangor City -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Albion Rovers 0
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Llanidloes Town 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Brickfield Rangers 1
Marshfield 1
Afan Lido 4
Goytre Utd 5
Cornelly 1
TBD -
Rhyl -
1/16-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Haverfordwest 0
Prestatyn 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Buckley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Aberystwyth 5
Connahs Q. 5
Monmouth 3
Port Talbot 1
Bala 2
Gresford 5
St. Asaph 0
Caernarfon 2
TNS 3
Newtown 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 0
Tiger Bay 0
Caersws FC 4
Conwy Borough 4
Briton Ferry 3
Garden Village 0
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Undy 2
Penrhyncoch 0
Caerau Ely 5
Llanrhaeadr 3
Afan Lido 0
Goytre Utd 1
Rhyl 2
1/8-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Holywell Town FC 0
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 3
Bala 2
Gresford 0
TNS 3
Newtown 3
Caersws FC 2
Conwy Borough 0
Bangor City 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Caerau Ely 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Rhyl 4
Quarter-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberystwyth 1
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 1
Newtown 2
Bangor City 1
Carmarthen Town 1
Rhyl 2
Semi-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
TNS 4
Newtown 2
Rhyl 1
Final
TNS 2
Newtown 0
