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Llanidloes Town vs Gresford Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Gresford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Llanidloes Town
15%
Draws
85%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gresford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gresford come out ahead of Llanidloes Town on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gresford a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Gresford arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gresford, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gresford have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Llanidloes Town Clean Sheet 16%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanidloes Town Gresford
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2024 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Gresford
0:2
Oct 13, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanidloes Town vs Gresford
1:3
Sep 22, 2023 Cymru North
Gresford vs Llanidloes Town
4:1
Dec 11, 2022 Cymru North
Gresford vs Llanidloes Town
2:0
Nov 19, 2022 Cymru North
Llanidloes Town vs Gresford
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanidloes Town 10 / 100
Gresford 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanidloes Town Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gresford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Llanidloes Town scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Gresford has conceded goals in 78% of their last 36 outings.

Away concern: Gresford has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gresford
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanidloes Town

(Home)
30 Apr
Caersws FC
5 : 0
Llanidloes Town
24 Apr
Holywell Town FC
4 : 0
Llanidloes Town
20 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 4
Bangor 1876
13 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 3
Flint Town
06 Apr
Llanidloes Town
0 : 7
Denbigh
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
21 Aug
Bala
3 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1