Sport Picks
Llannefydd vs Penrhyncoch
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llannefydd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Penrhyncoch come out ahead of Llannefydd on wins alone.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Llannefydd taking it.
- Penrhyncoch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penrhyncoch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Llannefydd Clean Sheet 19%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llannefydd | Penrhyncoch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 7 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Llannefydd vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llannefydd 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llannefydd Penrhyncoch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llannefydd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llannefydd found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (7 games).
Penrhyncoch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Llannefydd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Penrhyncoch
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Llannefydd
(Home) 18 Oct
Llannefydd
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
20 Sept
Llannefydd
5 : 1 Llanberis FC
24 Jun
Llannefydd
1 : 1 Denbigh
19 Oct
Llannefydd
1 : 2 Trearddur Bay
21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
Page 1 of 2
18 Oct
Llannefydd
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
20 Sept
Llannefydd
5 : 1 Llanberis FC
24 Jun
Llannefydd
1 : 1 Denbigh
19 Oct
Llannefydd
1 : 2 Trearddur Bay
21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0 Rhydymwyn
Page 1 of 2
Penrhyncoch
(Away) 15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1 Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5 Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Penrhyncoch
2 : 2 Denbigh
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0 Penrhyncoch
22 Aug
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0 Penrhyncoch
08 Aug
Newtown
5 : 0 Penrhyncoch
06 Apr
Caersws FC
1 : 2 Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
