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Llantwit Major vs Cambrian United Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Llantwit Major Logo

Llantwit Major

1 - 3
FT
Cambrian United Logo

Cambrian United

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Thomas F.
33' Event
Edwards D.
44' Event
Stokes T. M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Llantwit Major and Cambrian United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambrian United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Llantwit Major
15%
Draws
48%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Llantwit Major haven't matched Cambrian United's recent run of results.
  • Llantwit Major are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 12%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llantwit Major Cambrian United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.43 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cambrian United
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Llantwit Major
2:1
Mar 21, 2025 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Llantwit Major
1:0
Dec 26, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cambrian United
2:2
Nov 4, 2023 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cambrian United
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Stokes T. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llantwit Major 83 / 100
Cambrian United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llantwit Major Cambrian United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llantwit Major Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Llantwit Major scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Llantwit Major went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cambrian United has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Llantwit Major VS Cambrian United
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Llantwit Major

(Home)
02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2
Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
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Cambrian United

(Away)
03 Oct
TNS
9 : 0
Cambrian United
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
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