Sport Picks
Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Bevan J.
73'
73'
Larcombe A.
76'
76'
Goldsworthy C.
AI Match Summary
Llantwit Major in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Llantwit Major.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llantwit Major
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Llantwit Major lately — more wins on the board than Cwmbran Celtic.
- Model gives Llantwit Major a 59% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%
Cwmbran Celtic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llantwit Major | Cwmbran Celtic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 2.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2026 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major
1:3
Feb 14, 2026 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
3:1
Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Cwmbran Celtic vs Llantwit Major
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
2:1
Mar 16, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Cwmbran Celtic
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llantwit Major Compare
Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Goldsworthy C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8
Cwmbran Celtic Compare
Top Goalscorer Larcombe A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llantwit Major 83 / 100
Cwmbran Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llantwit Major Cwmbran Celtic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llantwit Major Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cwmbran Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.
Llantwit Major scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Llantwit Major stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Llantwit Major VS Cwmbran Celtic
0.75 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 71%
75% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Llantwit Major
(Home) 02 Oct
Carmarthen Town
1 : 2 Llantwit Major
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1 Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0 Llanelli
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1 Baglan Dragons
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3 Cambrian United
28 Mar
Llantwit Major
1 : 4 Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 3
Cwmbran Celtic
(Away) 18 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1 Aberystwyth
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 8 Trefelin
27 Mar
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 2 Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7
03 Apr
Afan Lido
4 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
24 Mar
Baglan Dragons
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
21 Mar
Caerau Ely
0 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
14 Feb
Llantwit Major
3 : 1 Cwmbran Celtic
30 Jan
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 0 Cwmbran Celtic
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |
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