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Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Vaughan-Evans F.
15' Event
Davies J.
49' Event
Kelly T.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North game between Llanuwchllyn and Denbigh finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denbigh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Llanuwchllyn
15%
Draws
51%
Denbigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Denbigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Llanuwchllyn haven't matched Denbigh's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Denbigh have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Llanuwchllyn Clean Sheet 10%
Denbigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llanuwchllyn Denbigh
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.86 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.62 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Cymru North
Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh
3:4
Dec 14, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Denbigh vs Llanuwchllyn
7:1
Aug 14, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Llanuwchllyn vs Denbigh
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llanuwchllyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader ap Gareth I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Denbigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vaughan-Evans F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llanuwchllyn 34 / 100
Denbigh 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llanuwchllyn Denbigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denbigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denbigh has conceded goals in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Llanuwchllyn scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Denbigh lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llanuwchllyn VS Denbigh
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llanuwchllyn

(Home)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
24 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 3
Bala
17 Oct
Newtown
7 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
10 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 1
Penrhyncoch
03 Oct
Guilsfield
1 : 0
Llanuwchllyn
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Denbigh

(Away)
31 Oct
Llanuwchllyn
3 : 4
Denbigh
16 Oct
Denbigh
0 : 2
Bangor 1876
10 Oct
Guilsfield
0 : 2
Denbigh
02 Oct
Denbigh
2 : 4
Holyhead
26 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Denbigh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers 13 10 1 2 28:11 31
2 Newtown 12 8 3 1 22:5 27
3 Mold Alexandra 12 8 2 2 30:14 26
4 Porthmadog 13 7 3 3 20:14 24
5 Bala 13 6 3 4 26:24 21
6 Caersws FC 12 5 5 2 25:18 20
7 Bangor 1876 12 5 3 4 24:19 18
8 Guilsfield 13 4 6 3 20:18 18
9 Buckley 13 4 3 6 25:23 15
10 Holyhead 12 4 2 6 17:20 14
11 Llanuwchllyn 12 4 2 6 23:31 14
12 Denbigh 12 4 1 7 24:26 13
13 Ruthin Town 12 3 3 6 12:22 12
14 Rhyl 12 2 5 5 21:24 11
15 Gresford 11 2 1 8 7:24 7
16 Penrhyncoch 12 0 1 11 6:37 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)