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Lleida vs CE Manresa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Camp d'Esports, Lleida
Lleida Logo

Lleida

0 - 2
FT
CE Manresa Logo

CE Manresa

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Ezzarfani M.
70' Event
Momoh D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Lleida and CE Manresa finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CE Manresa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lleida
35%
Draws
47%
CE Manresa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CE Manresa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CE Manresa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on CE Manresa taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Lleida Clean Sheet 21%
CE Manresa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lleida CE Manresa
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 2 16
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.74 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.59 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Lleida vs CE Manresa
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CE Manresa vs Lleida
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Lleida vs CE Manresa
1:0
Oct 1, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Manresa vs Lleida
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
CE Manresa vs Lleida
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lleida Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.29

CE Manresa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezzarfani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Momoh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lleida 29 / 100
CE Manresa 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lleida CE Manresa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CE Manresa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lleida scored in 61% of their last 23 outings.

Solid form: Lleida remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

CE Manresa let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lleida VS CE Manresa
0.43 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lleida

(Home)
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
FC Lescala
4 : 1
Lleida
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
Lleida
0 : 0
San Cristobal CP
Page 1 of 5

CE Manresa

(Away)
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
19 Aug
Sant Andreu
3 : 1
CE Manresa
16 Aug
CE Europa
0 : 1
CE Manresa
12 Aug
CE Manresa
2 : 0
CF Vilanova
08 Aug
FE Grama
0 : 0
CE Manresa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)