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Llosetense vs Alaior

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Llosetense and Alaior finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Llosetense
35%
Draws
13%
Alaior
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Alaior haven't matched Llosetense's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Llosetense here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 20%
Alaior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Alaior
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.77 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Alaior
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Llosetense
0:1
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Alaior
4:2
Sep 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Llosetense
1:4
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alaior vs Llosetense
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 76 / 100
Alaior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Alaior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Alaior has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Llosetense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
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Alaior

(Away)
12 May
Alaior
1 : 1
Portmany
04 May
Mallorca B
2 : 1
Alaior
01 May
Alaior
0 : 3
UD Poblense
27 Apr
Constancia
1 : 0
Alaior
21 Apr
Alaior
0 : 0
Collerense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)