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Llosetense vs Collerense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pacheco A.
75' Event
Rodriguez G.
78' Event
Mestre J. S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Llosetense and Collerense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
44%
Collerense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collerense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Llosetense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 16%
Collerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Collerense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Collerense
4:1
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Llosetense
0:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Collerense
0:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Llosetense
1:2
Jan 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Collerense vs Llosetense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mestre J. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pacheco A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Collerense Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 39 / 100
Collerense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Collerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Collerense let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Llosetense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Collerense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
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Collerense

(Away)
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
10 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 0
Collerense
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
25 Apr
Rotlet Molinar
2 : 5
Collerense
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0
Collerense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)