Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Pacheco A.
62'
62'
Socias J.
82'
82'
Fiol R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Llosetense haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
- Constancia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Constancia have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 13%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llosetense | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Llosetense
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Llosetense
3:0
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Constancia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llosetense Compare
Top Goalscorer Pacheco A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Constancia Compare
Top Goalscorer Socias J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llosetense 27 / 100
Constancia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llosetense Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llosetense scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Llosetense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Constancia let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Llosetense VS Constancia
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Llosetense
(Home) 12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0 Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1 Mercadal
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Constancia
(Away) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
15 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 4 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
