Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Sanz D.
17'
17'
Gorriz A.
75'
75'
Socias P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Llosetense at 1.83 per game, Formentera at 1.14.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 18%
Formentera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Llosetense | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Formentera
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Llosetense
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Llosetense
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Formentera
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Llosetense
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Llosetense Compare
Top Goalscorer Socias P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Davis Boriko J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Formentera Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanz D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gorriz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Llosetense 40 / 100
Formentera 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Llosetense Formentera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llosetense scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Llosetense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Formentera let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Llosetense VS Formentera
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Llosetense
(Home) 05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1 Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1 Llosetense
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0 Sineu
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1 Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1 Mercadal
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Formentera
(Away) 05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1 Formentera
29 Mar
Pena Deportiva
0 : 1 Formentera
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 105:22 | 84 |
| 2 | Manacor | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 71:39 | 77 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 69:30 | 68 |
| 4 | Constancia | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 62:29 | 62 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 6 | Formentera | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 40:29 | 52 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 31:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:55 | 44 |
| 10 | Platges de Calvia | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 11 | Binissalem | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 26:34 | 41 |
| 12 | Santanyi | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 43:58 | 41 |
| 13 | Alcudia | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 37:62 | 38 |
| 14 | CD Son Cladera | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 41:63 | 38 |
| 15 | Portmany | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Collerense | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 41:64 | 28 |
| 17 | Felanitx | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32:62 | 26 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34:69 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
