Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Llosetense vs Inter Ibiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Alomar L.
76' Event
Riveron S.
78' Event
Ada I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Llosetense and Inter Ibiza finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Llosetense
20%
Draws
34%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Ibiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Llosetense a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Llosetense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Llosetense Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Llosetense
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Inter Ibiza
2:1
May 1, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Inter Ibiza
0:3
Feb 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Llosetense
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alomar L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riveron S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Inter Ibiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Ada I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Llosetense 95 / 100
Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Llosetense Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llosetense scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Inter Ibiza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Llosetense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Llosetense VS Inter Ibiza
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Llosetense

(Home)
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
17 May
Llosetense
1 : 1
Manacor
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
29 Apr
Llosetense
6 : 1
Mercadal
Page 1 of 6

Inter Ibiza

(Away)
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 1
Manacor
12 Apr
Mercadal
0 : 1
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)