Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O.
10' Event
Talles
(Penalty)
12' Event
Yade P.
Assist: Drambayev O.

AI Match Summary

LNZ Cherkasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LNZ Cherkasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
LNZ Cherkasy
30%
Draws
16%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LNZ Cherkasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LNZ Cherkasy lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on LNZ Cherkasy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • LNZ Cherkasy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LNZ Cherkasy Obolon
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.29 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon
3:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
1:2
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LNZ Cherkasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Yade P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Matkevych A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LNZ Cherkasy 95 / 100
Obolon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LNZ Cherkasy Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obolon has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: LNZ Cherkasy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Obolon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

LNZ Cherkasy VS Obolon
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LNZ Cherkasy

(Home)
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
06 Sept
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
30 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Veres Rivne
16 Aug
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 0
Ch. Odesa
10 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
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Obolon

(Away)
12 Sept
LNZ Cherkasy
3 : 1
Obolon
05 Sept
FC Kharkiv
5 : 0
Obolon
28 Aug
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0
Obolon
22 Aug
Karpaty Lviv
2 : 0
Obolon
15 Aug
Kudrivka
0 : 0
Obolon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polissya Zhytomyr 7 6 0 1 15:5 18
2 Shakhtar 6 5 0 1 12:4 15
3 Karpaty Lviv 6 4 1 1 14:4 13
4 Dynamo Kyiv 5 3 1 1 7:5 10
5 FC Kharkiv 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
6 Epitsentr 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
8 Zorya 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
9 Bukovyna 6 1 4 1 4:4 7
10 Veres Rivne 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
11 Kryvbas 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
12 Ch. Odesa 6 1 2 3 3:7 5
13 Livyi Bereg 5 0 4 1 2:3 4
14 Obolon 7 0 4 3 2:12 4
15 Kolos Kovalivka 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
16 Kudrivka 5 0 2 3 2:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)