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LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Premier League Cherkasy Arena, Cherkasy
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O.
10' Event
Talles
(Penalty)
12' Event
Yade P.
Assist: Drambayev O.

AI Match Summary

LNZ Cherkasy in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored LNZ Cherkasy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
LNZ Cherkasy
30%
Draws
29%
Obolon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LNZ Cherkasy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LNZ Cherkasy lately — more wins on the board than Obolon.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on LNZ Cherkasy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • LNZ Cherkasy have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 68%
Obolon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LNZ Cherkasy Obolon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 12
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon
3:1
May 24, 2026 Premier League
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
LNZ Cherkasy vs Obolon
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
1:2
May 10, 2025 Premier League
Obolon vs LNZ Cherkasy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LNZ Cherkasy Compare

Top Goalscorer Yade P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cara T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Obolon Compare

Top Goalscorer Matkevych A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LNZ Cherkasy 77 / 100
Obolon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LNZ Cherkasy Obolon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LNZ Cherkasy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obolon has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: LNZ Cherkasy stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

LNZ Cherkasy's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

LNZ Cherkasy VS Obolon
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LNZ Cherkasy

(Home)
28 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy
0 : 1
Metalist Kharkiv
24 Oct
Livyi Bereg
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
18 Oct
Kryvbas
0 : 3
LNZ Cherkasy
11 Oct
LNZ Cherkasy
2 : 1
Kudrivka
20 Sept
Shakhtar
3 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
Page 1 of 6

Obolon

(Away)
06 Nov
Obolon
1 : 1
Livyi Bereg
30 Oct
Shakhtar
2 : 0
Obolon
23 Oct
Polissya Zhytomyr
3 : 0
Obolon
16 Oct
Obolon
2 : 0
Veres Rivne
18 Sept
Ch. Odesa
1 : 1
Obolon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtar 11 9 1 1 22:5 28
2 Polissya Zhytomyr 10 8 1 1 23:8 25
3 Dynamo Kyiv 10 7 1 2 16:9 22
4 FC Kharkiv 9 7 0 2 18:7 21
5 Karpaty Lviv 11 5 4 2 22:8 19
6 Zorya 11 5 3 3 13:13 18
7 LNZ Cherkasy 10 4 3 3 10:9 15
8 Kolos Kovalivka 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Ch. Odesa 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
10 Epitsentr 11 2 3 6 10:15 9
11 Bukovyna 10 1 6 3 7:12 9
12 Veres Rivne 11 2 3 6 7:16 9
13 Livyi Bereg 9 1 5 3 6:8 8
14 Obolon 10 1 4 5 4:17 7
15 Kryvbas 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
16 Kudrivka 11 1 2 8 11:29 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)