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LNZ Cherkasy vs Riga FC

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LNZ Cherkasy play Riga FC in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, LNZ Cherkasy averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. Riga FC averaged 2.76 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, LNZ Cherkasy won 0, Riga FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 12, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for LNZ Cherkasy and 1.50 for Riga FC. This points to a Riga FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
LNZ Cherkasy
15%
Draws
47%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • LNZ Cherkasy picked up more points recently compared to Riga FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
LNZ Cherkasy Clean Sheet 16%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LNZ Cherkasy Riga FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 21
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.57 2.76
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2026 Club Friendly
LNZ Cherkasy vs Riga FC
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LNZ Cherkasy 37 / 100
Riga FC 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LNZ Cherkasy Riga FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Riga FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LNZ Cherkasy attacking → ← attacking Riga FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LNZ Cherkasy scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Riga FC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

LNZ Cherkasy went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Riga FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 67
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25