Sport Picks
Lobos UPNFM vs CD Choloma
Honduras
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
CD Choloma in this Liga Nacional 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Choloma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- CD Choloma have won more games recently than Lobos UPNFM.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lobos UPNFM | CD Choloma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lobos UPNFM Compare
CD Choloma Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Lobos UPNFM scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
CD Choloma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: CD Choloma registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lobos UPNFM
(Home)CD Choloma
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis FC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | 16 |
