Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM host Estrella in the Liga Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lobos UPNFM have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Estrella's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Estrella slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Estrella to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lobos UPNFM
33%
Draws
40%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched Lobos UPNFM's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estrella a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estrella here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Estrella
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
3-0
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Lobos UPNFM
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
0-1
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Lobos UPNFM
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
0-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 28 / 100
Estrella 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Estrella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos UPNFM found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lobos UPNFM stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua00000:00
2Olimpia00000:00
3Marathon00000:00
4Real Espana00000:00
5Platense00000:00
6Juticalpa00000:00
7Atletico Independiente00000:00
8Lobos UPNFM00000:00
9Estrella00000:00
10Genesis FC00000:00
11Olancho00000:00
12CD Choloma00000:00