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Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM host Estrella in the Liga Nacional. This has Estrella written all over it on paper. Lobos UPNFM have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Estrella's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Lobos UPNFM slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 2-1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Estrella to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lobos UPNFM
33%
Draws
40%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella haven't matched Lobos UPNFM's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Estrella a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Estrella
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 8 3
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Lobos UPNFM
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
3-1
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Estrella vs Lobos UPNFM
1-1
Jan 12, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Estrella
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 28 / 100
Estrella 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Estrella

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lobos UPNFM scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lobos UPNFM has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Motagua00000:00
2Olimpia00000:00
3Marathon00000:00
4Real Espana00000:00
5Platense00000:00
6Juticalpa00000:00
7Atletico Independiente00000:00
8Lobos UPNFM00000:00
9Estrella00000:00
10Genesis FC00000:00
11Olancho00000:00
12CD Choloma00000:00