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Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Emilio Williams Agasse, Choluteca
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lobos UPNFM host Olimpia in the Liga Nacional. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lobos UPNFM have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Olimpia's 2.03 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Lobos UPNFM have won 0 to Olimpia's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.69) point toward Olimpia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lobos UPNFM
15%
Draws
57%
Olimpia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimpia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olimpia come out ahead of Lobos UPNFM on wins alone.
  • Model gives Olimpia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Olimpia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 13%
Olimpia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lobos UPNFM Olimpia
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 7 25
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
0:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olimpia
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olimpia vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lobos UPNFM 10 / 100
Olimpia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lobos UPNFM Olimpia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olimpia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lobos UPNFM's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Olimpia conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Lobos UPNFM remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lobos UPNFM VS Olimpia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lobos UPNFM

(Home)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

Olimpia

(Away)
10 Oct
Genesis FC
0 : 1
Olimpia
20 Sept
Olimpia
4 : 0
Atletico Independiente
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Marathon
1 : 0
Olimpia
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
2 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 9 3 2 4 10:7 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)