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Locarno vs Ascona

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Borghese M.
37' Event
Becchio A.
76' Event
Peyretti N.

AI Match Summary

Locarno in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Locarno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Locarno
15%
Draws
42%
Ascona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Locarno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Locarno have won more games recently than Ascona.
  • Win probability leans Locarno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Locarno Clean Sheet 17%
Ascona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locarno Ascona
Matches Played 27 6
Wins 4 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.96 1
Goals Conceded 2.67 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Locarno vs Ascona
4:0
Aug 18, 2013 Swiss Cup
Ascona vs Locarno
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locarno Compare

Top Goalscorer Borghese M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becchio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ascona Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locarno 84 / 100
Ascona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locarno Ascona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locarno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ascona conceded in 100% of 6 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ascona's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Locarno scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Locarno VS Ascona
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Locarno

(Home)
22 Aug
Locarno
1 : 2
Tuggen
15 Aug
Wettswil-Bonstetten
2 : 1
Locarno
08 Aug
Locarno
2 : 3
St. Gallen II
26 Aug
Locarno
4 : 0
Ascona
22 Jul
Atalanta
10 : 0
Locarno
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Ascona

(Away)
26 Aug
Locarno
4 : 0
Ascona
26 Feb
Paradiso
1 : 2
Ascona
18 Aug
Ascona
1 : 2
Locarno
17 Sept
Ascona
1 : 2
Chiasso
26 Aug
Ascona
1 : 5
Bellinzona
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