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Locarno vs Baden - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Locarno Logo

Locarno

3 - 1
FT
Baden Logo

Baden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Locarno and Baden finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Locarno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Locarno
30%
Draws
35%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Baden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Locarno are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Locarno have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Locarno Clean Sheet 11%
Baden Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locarno Baden
Matches Played 26 33
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.08 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Locarno vs Baden
3:1
Apr 16, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs Locarno
1:2
Sep 20, 2015 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Locarno vs Baden
2:2
Sep 15, 2007 Swiss Cup
Baden vs Locarno
1:2
Apr 13, 2006 Challenge League
Locarno vs Baden
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locarno 38 / 100
Baden 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locarno Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locarno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Locarno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Baden's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Locarno VS Baden
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Locarno

(Home)
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Gossau
1 : 0
Locarno
12 Sept
Locarno
0 : 0
Taverne
05 Sept
Locarno
0 : 0
FC Widnau
Page 1 of 6

Baden

(Away)
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Baden
2 : 1
Dietikon
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Baden
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 9 6 2 1 20:9 20
2 St. Gallen II 9 6 1 2 20:16 19
3 Taverne 9 5 2 2 24:13 17
4 Thalwil 9 4 4 1 16:9 16
5 Baden 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Kosova 9 4 4 1 15:11 16
7 Collina d'Oro 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
8 Dietikon 9 3 2 4 12:14 11
9 Gossau 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
10 Freienbach 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
11 Winterthur II 8 3 0 5 10:11 9
12 Eschen/Mauren 8 2 2 4 8:15 8
13 Mendrisio 9 1 5 3 11:13 8
14 Locarno 9 1 4 4 11:13 7
15 Wettswil-Bonstetten 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
16 FC Widnau 9 1 2 6 4:17 5
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)