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Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Shturmi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 play Shturmi in the Liga 3 2025. Shturmi are favorites here. Recently, Locomotive Tbilisi 2 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Shturmi averaged 1.82 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. In past meetings, Locomotive Tbilisi 2 won 1, Shturmi won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 30, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Locomotive Tbilisi 2 and 1.11 for Shturmi. This points to a Shturmi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2
15%
Draws
60%
Shturmi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shturmi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Locomotive Tbilisi 2 picked up more points recently compared to Shturmi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Clean Sheet 21%
Shturmi Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Shturmi
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 8 21
Draws 3 12
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.27 0.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Shturmi
0:2
May 29, 2025 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
2:1
Jul 21, 2024 Georgian Cup
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Shturmi
4:3
Nov 7, 2023 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 vs Shturmi
1:2
Jun 11, 2023 Liga 3
Shturmi vs Locomotive Tbilisi 2
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Shturmi Compare

Top Goalscorer Butskhrikidze L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 27 / 100
Shturmi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi 2 Shturmi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shturmi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Shturmi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 attacking → ← attacking Shturmi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Shturmi let in goals in 49% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Locomotive Tbilisi 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Shturmi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 75
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shturmi30217268:2270
2Gori30207358:2867
3Odishi 191930204659:1964
4Dusheti30196579:3563
5FC Tbilisi 202530177659:3258
6WIT Georgia301410664:3252
7Orbi301111858:4044
8Didube301271147:4343
9Merani Tbilisi30881439:5232
10Betlemi Keda30781543:7129
11FC Gardabani30851737:6729
12Margveti 200630771636:7128
13Locomotive Tbilisi 230831943:6827
14Khobi30751835:6326
15Borjomi30651934:6023
16Bakhmaro Chokhatauri30342318:7413