Sport Picks

Locomotive Tbilisi vs FC Gardabani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia

Liga 3 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi

FC Gardabani

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Locomotive Tbilisi host FC Gardabani in the Liga 3. This has Locomotive Tbilisi written all over it on paper. Locomotive Tbilisi have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against FC Gardabani's 0.73 scored and 2.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Locomotive Tbilisi have won 0 to FC Gardabani's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (2.63 - 0.81) back Locomotive Tbilisi to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Locomotive Tbilisi

15%

Draws

FC Gardabani

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

FC Gardabani haven't matched Locomotive Tbilisi's recent run of results.
Model gives Locomotive Tbilisi a 85% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%

FC Gardabani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Locomotive Tbilisi	FC Gardabani
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	7	4
Losses	11	22
Goals Scored	1.53	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.33	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Liga 3

FC Gardabani vs Locomotive Tbilisi

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 85 / 100

FC Gardabani 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Locomotive Tbilisi FC Gardabani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Gardabani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Away concern: FC Gardabani has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Locomotive Tbilisi VS FC Gardabani

2 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 3.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History