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Locomotive Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sajaia M.
34' Event
Kokosadze N.
48' Event
Kokosadze N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Locomotive Tbilisi
35%
Draws
32%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Tbilisi 2025 lately — more wins on the board than Locomotive Tbilisi.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 13%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locomotive Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.48 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi vs FC Tbilisi 2025
3:3
Apr 8, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Locomotive Tbilisi
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokosadze N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sajaia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manjgaladze D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abuladze A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locomotive Tbilisi 31 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locomotive Tbilisi FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Tbilisi 2025 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Locomotive Tbilisi scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Locomotive Tbilisi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Tbilisi 2025 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Locomotive Tbilisi VS FC Tbilisi 2025
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Locomotive Tbilisi

(Home)
09 Oct
Didube
1 : 3
Locomotive Tbilisi
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
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FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Tbilisi 2025
3 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)