Sport Picks
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Merani Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi 
AI Match Summary
Locomotive Tbilisi host Merani Tbilisi in the Liga 3. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Locomotive Tbilisi have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Merani Tbilisi's 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded. Past meetings favor Locomotive Tbilisi slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.63, favoring Merani Tbilisi. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Merani Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Merani Tbilisi a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Locomotive Tbilisi | Merani Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Locomotive Tbilisi scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Merani Tbilisi has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Locomotive Tbilisi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Locomotive Tbilisi
(Home)Merani Tbilisi
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 67:11 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 57:14 | 52 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 37:19 | 42 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 39:28 | 35 |
| 8 | Didube | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 35:31 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:29 | 31 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Khobi | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 31:46 | 24 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 19:56 | 16 |
| 14 | Betlemi Keda | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15:55 | 16 |
| 15 | Iveria Khashuri | 23 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 24:48 | 14 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 23 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 19:58 | 11 |
