Sport Picks
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Orbi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Georgia
Liga 3 Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi 
Match Events
67'
67'
Shonia T.
Penalty Missed
74'
74'
Mekhtievi I.
90'
90'
Kakulia S.
AI Match Summary
Locomotive Tbilisi in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Locomotive Tbilisi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Orbi lately — more wins on the board than Locomotive Tbilisi.
- Locomotive Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Orbi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 17%
Orbi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Locomotive Tbilisi | Orbi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Orbi
2:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 3
Orbi vs Locomotive Tbilisi
2:1
Feb 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Orbi
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Locomotive Tbilisi Compare
Top Goalscorer Mekhtievi I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kakulia S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Orbi Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Locomotive Tbilisi 66 / 100
Orbi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Locomotive Tbilisi Orbi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Locomotive Tbilisi scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Orbi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Locomotive Tbilisi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Locomotive Tbilisi VS Orbi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Locomotive Tbilisi
(Home) 17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0 Orbi
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3 FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1 Locomotive Tbilisi
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gonio
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0 Orbi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3 FC Tbilisi 2025
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0 Gonio
15 Jun
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 0 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
21 May
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 0 Margveti 2006
Page 1 of 3
Orbi
(Away) 17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0 Orbi
10 Sept
Orbi
2 : 2 Iveria Khashuri
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2 Orbi
27 Aug
Orbi
1 : 0 Khobi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1 Orbi
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0 Orbi
03 Sept
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
3 : 2 Orbi
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1 Orbi
06 Aug
Betlemi Keda
1 : 1 Orbi
24 Jun
FC Rustavi 2
2 : 3 Orbi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 63:11 | 51 |
| 2 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 54:14 | 49 |
| 3 | Iberia 1999 2 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 34:16 | 41 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:27 | 39 |
| 5 | WIT Georgia | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 37:25 | 38 |
| 6 | Gonio | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 32:24 | 38 |
| 7 | Orbi | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 34 |
| 8 | Didube | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 34:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi 2 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | 32 |
| 10 | Margveti 2006 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 11 | Locomotive Tbilisi | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:28 | 28 |
| 12 | Khobi | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 28:45 | 21 |
| 13 | FC Gardabani | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 18:53 | 16 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 22 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 22:46 | 13 |
| 15 | Betlemi Keda | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13:54 | 13 |
| 16 | FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18:56 | 11 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
