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Locri 1909 vs Licata Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Maimone G.
15' Event
Mbaye I.
47' Event
Pantano G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Locri 1909 and Licata finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Locri 1909
35%
Draws
52%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Licata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Licata's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 18%
Licata Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Licata
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Licata
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Locri 1909
1:2
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Licata
0:3
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Locri 1909
1:1
May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Licata
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantano G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Reis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Maimone G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbaye I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 23 / 100
Licata 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Licata conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Locri 1909 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Locri 1909 VS Licata
1.33 Goals Scored 1
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

Licata

(Away)
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)