Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025

Paterno

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Locri 1909 play Paterno in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Locri 1909 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Paterno averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.19 conceded. In past meetings, Locri 1909 won 0, Paterno won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 26, 2025 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Locri 1909 and 0.68 for Paterno. This points to a Paterno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Locri 1909

22%

Draws

40%

Paterno

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Paterno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Locri 1909 picked up more points recently compared to Paterno.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 28%

Paterno Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Locri 1909	Paterno
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	5	4
Draws	7	6
Losses	18	21
Goals Scored	1.03	0.71
Goals Conceded	1.83	2.19

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Paterno

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Paterno vs Locri 1909

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Paterno

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I

Paterno vs Locri 1909

Possession: 50% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fangwa Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Paterno Compare

Top Goalscorer Francia F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 40 / 100

Paterno 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Locri 1909 Paterno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Paterno or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Locri 1909 attacking → ← attacking Paterno

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Paterno let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Locri 1909 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paterno lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 18

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Siracusa	32	25	3	4	65:16	78
2	Reggina	32	24	5	3	65:22	77
3	Scafatese	32	20	5	7	58:26	65
4	Sambiase	32	15	9	8	40:27	54
5	Vibonese	32	15	5	12	44:31	50
6	Nissa	32	11	13	8	48:49	46
7	Paterno	32	10	14	8	26:32	44
8	USD Ragusa	32	9	11	12	37:37	38
9	Pompei	32	10	8	14	29:42	38
10	Igea Virtus	32	10	7	15	36:47	37
11	Sancataldese	32	7	14	11	28:40	35
12	Enna	32	7	14	11	21:39	35
13	AS Acireale	32	8	10	14	35:50	34
14	Castrumfavara	32	5	15	12	27:40	30
15	Licata	32	8	4	20	33:55	28
16	S. Agata	32	6	9	17	40:54	27
17	Locri 1909	32	6	6	20	32:57	24
18	Akragas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0