Sport Picks
Locri 1909 vs Paterno Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 
Match Events
10'
10'
Guida A.
(Penalty)
29'
29'
Fangwa Y.
59'
59'
Leveque A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Locri 1909
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Paterno lately — more wins on the board than Locri 1909.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Locri 1909 taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Paterno have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 68%
Paterno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Locri 1909 | Paterno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 26, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Paterno
2:2
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Locri 1909
2:1
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Paterno
0:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Paterno vs Locri 1909
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Locri 1909 Compare
Top Goalscorer Fangwa Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Paterno Compare
Top Goalscorer Francia F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Locri 1909 95 / 100
Paterno 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Locri 1909 Paterno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Locri 1909 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Paterno let in goals in 83% of their last 36 matches.
Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Difficult form: Paterno registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Paterno
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Locri 1909
(Home) 04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1 AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1 Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3 Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1 Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2 S. Agata
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1 AS Acireale
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3 Reggina
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2 S. Agata
02 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 1 Igea Virtus
02 Mar
Locri 1909
0 : 1 Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 3
Paterno
(Away) 03 May
Nissa
4 : 1 Paterno
26 Apr
Paterno
1 : 3 Castrumfavara
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0 Paterno
12 Apr
Paterno
0 : 0 Milazzo
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1 Paterno
Page 1 of 8
03 May
Nissa
4 : 1 Paterno
19 Apr
Reggina
2 : 0 Paterno
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1 Paterno
29 Mar
Gela
2 : 1 Paterno
15 Mar
Athletic Palermo
4 : 2 Paterno
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siracusa | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 65:16 | 78 |
| 2 | Reggina | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 65:22 | 77 |
| 3 | Scafatese | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 58:26 | 65 |
| 4 | Sambiase | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 40:27 | 54 |
| 5 | Vibonese | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 44:31 | 50 |
| 6 | Nissa | 32 | 11 | 13 | 8 | 48:49 | 46 |
| 7 | Paterno | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 26:32 | 44 |
| 8 | USD Ragusa | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 9 | Pompei | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | 38 |
| 10 | Igea Virtus | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 11 | Sancataldese | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 28:40 | 35 |
| 12 | Enna | 32 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 21:39 | 35 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:50 | 34 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 32 | 5 | 15 | 12 | 27:40 | 30 |
| 15 | Licata | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 33:55 | 28 |
| 16 | S. Agata | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40:54 | 27 |
| 17 | Locri 1909 | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 32:57 | 24 |
| 18 | Akragas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)
