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Locri 1909 vs Pompei Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sepe A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 game between Locri 1909 and Pompei finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pompei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Locri 1909
20%
Draws
69%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pompei come out ahead of Locri 1909 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Pompei's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 29%
Pompei Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Locri 1909 Pompei
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Locri 1909 vs Pompei
0:1
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Pompei vs Locri 1909
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Sepe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 26 / 100
Pompei 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Locri 1909 Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pompei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

Locri 1909 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Locri 1909 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pompei
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Locri 1909

(Home)
04 May
Locri 1909
1 : 1
AS Acireale
27 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Locri 1909
17 Apr
Locri 1909
2 : 3
Reggina
13 Apr
USD Ragusa
2 : 1
Locri 1909
06 Apr
Locri 1909
1 : 2
S. Agata
Page 1 of 6

Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)