Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025

Reggina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Locri 1909 play Reggina in the Serie D - Group I 2024/2025. Reggina are favorites here. Recently, Locri 1909 averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Reggina averaged 1.44 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Locri 1909 won 0, Reggina won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 17, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Locri 1909 and 1.30 for Reggina. This points to a Reggina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Locri 1909

15%

Draws

67%

Reggina

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Locri 1909 picked up more points recently compared to Reggina.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Locri 1909 Clean Sheet 19%

Reggina Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Locri 1909	Reggina
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	21
Draws	7	5
Losses	18	6
Goals Scored	1.03	1.44
Goals Conceded	1.83	0.72

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Reggina

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Reggina vs Locri 1909

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group I

Locri 1909 vs Reggina

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:4

Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group I

Reggina vs Locri 1909

Possession: 60% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Locri 1909 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simonetta D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Grillo P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Barilla A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Locri 1909 20 / 100

Reggina 64 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Locri 1909 Reggina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (2)

Secondary Pick Reggina & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +80%

10.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Locri 1909 attacking → ← attacking Reggina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locri 1909 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Reggina let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Locri 1909 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Reggina lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 68

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Siracusa	32	25	3	4	65:16	78
2	Reggina	32	24	5	3	65:22	77
3	Scafatese	32	20	5	7	58:26	65
4	Sambiase	32	15	9	8	40:27	54
5	Vibonese	32	15	5	12	44:31	50
6	Nissa	32	11	13	8	48:49	46
7	Paterno	32	10	14	8	26:32	44
8	USD Ragusa	32	9	11	12	37:37	38
9	Pompei	32	10	8	14	29:42	38
10	Igea Virtus	32	10	7	15	36:47	37
11	Sancataldese	32	7	14	11	28:40	35
12	Enna	32	7	14	11	21:39	35
13	AS Acireale	32	8	10	14	35:50	34
14	Castrumfavara	32	5	15	12	27:40	30
15	Licata	32	8	4	20	33:55	28
16	S. Agata	32	6	9	17	40:54	27
17	Locri 1909	32	6	6	20	32:57	24
18	Akragas	0	0	0	0	0:0	0