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Loddefjord vs Ardal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Frydenlund I.
32' Event
Solheim L.
47' Event
Torum B.

AI Match Summary

Loddefjord play Ardal in the Division 3 - Group 1 2024. Loddefjord are favorites here. Recently, Loddefjord averaged 1.13 goals scored and 3 conceded. Ardal averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Loddefjord won 2, Ardal won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Loddefjord and 2.00 for Ardal. This points to a Loddefjord double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Loddefjord
6%
Draws
90%
Ardal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ardal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Loddefjord has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ardal.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ardal.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 3 - Group 1 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Loddefjord Clean Sheet 10%
Ardal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loddefjord Ardal
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 3 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Loddefjord vs Ardal
5:1
Apr 13, 2024 Division 3 - Group 1
Ardal vs Loddefjord
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loddefjord Compare

Top Goalscorer Frydenlund I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solheim L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ardal Compare

Top Goalscorer Hovland T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loddefjord 10 / 100
Ardal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loddefjord Ardal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loddefjord scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Ardal let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Loddefjord went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ardal lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loddefjord VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%