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Logan Lightning vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park, Logan
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abrahaberhe M.
41' Event
McMaster H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Logan Lightning
20%
Draws
40%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Logan Lightning lately — more wins on the board than Robina City.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 13%
Robina City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Robina City
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Logan Lightning
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Robina City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahaberhe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer McMaster H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 30 / 100
Robina City 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Robina City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Robina City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Logan Lightning went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Robina City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
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Robina City

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
01 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
6 : 3
Robina City
19 Jul
Robina City
1 : 1
Redlands
11 Jul
St. George Willawong
0 : 2
Robina City
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)