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Logan Lightning vs Robina City

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Cornubia Park
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Abrahaberhe M.
41' Event
McMaster H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Logan Lightning
28%
Draws
50%
Robina City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Robina City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Logan Lightning lately — more wins on the board than Robina City.
  • Win probability leans Robina City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 16%
Robina City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Robina City
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Robina City vs Logan Lightning
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Robina City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Logan Lightning Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahaberhe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Robina City Compare

Top Goalscorer McMaster H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 23 / 100
Robina City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Robina City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Logan Lightning's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Logan Lightning remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Robina City let in goals in 56% of their last 18 matches.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS Robina City
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1884630:2028
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1874735:3225
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1873829:3324
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC18221417:518