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Logan Lightning vs Surfers Paradise Apollo

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2023 Cornubia Park, Logan
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2023 game between Logan Lightning and Surfers Paradise Apollo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Surfers Paradise Apollo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Logan Lightning
6%
Draws
90%
Surfers Paradise Apollo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Surfers Paradise Apollo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Surfers Paradise Apollo come out ahead of Logan Lightning on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Surfers Paradise Apollo taking it.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 19%
Surfers Paradise Apollo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Logan Lightning Surfers Paradise Apollo
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Surfers Paradise Apollo
0:3
May 14, 2023 Queensland Premier League
Surfers Paradise Apollo vs Logan Lightning
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Logan Lightning 10 / 100
Surfers Paradise Apollo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Logan Lightning Surfers Paradise Apollo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Logan Lightning scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Recent resilience: Logan Lightning stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Surfers Paradise Apollo let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Logan Lightning VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Logan Lightning

(Home)
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
04 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
3 : 2
Logan Lightning
30 Jun
Logan Lightning
5 : 1
Redlands
27 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 3
Caboolture
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Surfers Paradise Apollo

(Away)
17 Sept
Surfers Paradise Apollo
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves
10 Sept
Surfers Paradise Apollo
3 : 0
Brisbane Strikers
03 Sept
Logan Lightning
0 : 3
Surfers Paradise Apollo
26 Aug
Albany Creek
0 : 3
Surfers Paradise Apollo
13 Aug
Caboolture
1 : 4
Surfers Paradise Apollo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Surfers Paradise Apollo22164263:2352
2Wynnum Wolves22146246:2348
3Logan Lightning22127339:3143
4Brisbane Strikers22104843:3734
5Western Pride22931041:4330
6Albany Creek22841032:3328
7SWQ Thunder2276945:3727
8Capalaba FC2268845:4426
9Sunshine Coast22731230:3824
10Southside Eagles22631335:4221
11Caboolture22561136:5621
12Mitchelton22341523:7113
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2023 (Play Offs)