Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010

CD Baza

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loja play CD Baza in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Loja averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. CD Baza averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Loja won 3, CD Baza won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 20, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Loja and 1.13 for CD Baza. This points to a Loja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Loja

18%

Draws

34%

CD Baza

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Loja picked up more points recently compared to CD Baza.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 59%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Loja Clean Sheet 21%

CD Baza Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 53%

Second Half Goal 56%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Loja	CD Baza
Matches Played	38	32
Wins	15	9
Draws	5	7
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.16	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.26	1.41

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Loja vs CD Baza

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Loja

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Loja vs CD Baza

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 3 - 0

5:1

Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Loja

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

CD Baza vs Loja

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 47 / 100

CD Baza 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Loja CD Baza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Loja or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Loja attacking → ← attacking CD Baza

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loja scored in 58% of their last 38 games.

CD Baza let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Loja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CD Baza lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 34

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mancha	36	20	8	8	53:26	68
2	Motril	36	18	12	6	54:24	66
3	El Palo	36	19	6	11	59:44	63
4	Almeria B	36	17	10	9	62:37	61
5	CD Ronda	36	17	9	10	64:51	60
6	Malaga B	36	16	11	9	56:44	59
7	Comarca	36	17	6	13	52:34	57
8	Ciudad de Vicar	36	13	14	9	52:48	53
9	Loja	36	13	10	13	42:40	49
10	Antequera	36	11	14	11	43:38	47
11	Velez	36	14	5	17	50:52	47
12	CD Alhaurino	36	12	9	15	53:54	45
13	Adra	36	12	9	15	47:59	45
14	Santa Fe	36	11	8	17	40:55	41
15	UD Carboneras	36	10	8	18	43:63	38
16	Huetor Tajar	36	11	5	20	44:67	38
17	CD Baza	36	9	10	17	36:54	37
18	Arenas Armilla	36	9	8	19	33:63	35
19	Ejido 2	19	7	3	9	21:22	24
20	Vera CD	19	1	7	11	17:46	10