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Loja vs CD Baza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Loja Logo

Loja

5 - 1
FT
CD Baza Logo

CD Baza

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Loja
20%
Draws
57%
CD Baza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Loja have won more games recently than CD Baza.
  • Win probability leans Loja's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja CD Baza
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs CD Baza
1:0
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Loja
0:0
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs CD Baza
5:1
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Loja
0:1
Jan 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Loja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 36 / 100
CD Baza 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja CD Baza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Baza let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Loja scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Loja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 7

CD Baza

(Away)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)