Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015

Espanol Alquian

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loja play Espanol Alquian in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. Loja are favorites here. Recently, Loja averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. Espanol Alquian averaged 0.34 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Loja won 5, Espanol Alquian won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 31, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Loja and 1.13 for Espanol Alquian. This points to a Loja double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

72%

Loja

15%

Draws

13%

Espanol Alquian

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Loja picked up more points recently compared to Espanol Alquian.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 72%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Loja Clean Sheet 21%

Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Loja	Espanol Alquian
Matches Played	39	32
Wins	16	3
Draws	7	0
Losses	16	29
Goals Scored	1.28	0.34
Goals Conceded	1.36	3

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Loja vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Loja

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Loja vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 43% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Nov 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Espanol Alquian vs Loja

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Mar 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9

Loja vs Espanol Alquian

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 69 / 100

Espanol Alquian 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Loja Espanol Alquian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (1)

Secondary Pick Loja & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.3%

1.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.4%

1.52

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Loja attacking → ← attacking Espanol Alquian

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loja scored in 59% of their last 39 games.

Espanol Alquian let in goals in 97% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Loja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Espanol Alquian lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 9

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Linares	38	27	7	4	88:26	88
2	Malaga B	38	23	6	9	69:36	75
3	UD San Pedro	38	21	10	7	65:35	73
4	Martos	38	22	5	11	66:42	71
5	Loja	38	20	9	9	55:36	69
6	Huetor Tajar	38	17	11	10	53:37	62
7	Los Villares	38	15	13	10	43:37	58
8	Maracena	38	16	9	13	66:52	57
9	Guadix	38	11	18	9	49:49	51
10	Mancha	38	13	11	14	36:34	50
11	Velez	38	13	10	15	49:47	49
12	Espanol Alquian	38	14	6	18	53:70	48
13	Ejido	38	13	8	17	55:75	47
14	CD Ronda	38	12	7	19	52:63	43
15	Antequera	38	10	12	16	51:55	42
16	Alhaurin	38	11	8	19	43:74	41
17	Atarfe Industrial	38	9	10	19	53:70	37
18	Villacarrillo	38	8	7	23	32:64	31
19	Atletico Melilla	38	7	9	22	29:58	30
20	Los Molinos CF	38	6	8	24	32:79	26