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Loja vs Guadix Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Loja Logo

Loja

4 - 3
FT
Guadix Logo

Guadix

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Loja
20%
Draws
16%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Loja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Loja have won more games recently than Guadix.
  • Loja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Guadix Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Guadix
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Guadix
4:3
Sep 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Loja
0:0
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Guadix
0:1
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Loja
2:2
Jan 2, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Loja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 85 / 100
Guadix 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Loja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Guadix registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Loja found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 7

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)