Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loja vs Santa Fe

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loja in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Loja
30%
Draws
47%
Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of Loja's 0.88.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Loja taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Santa Fe have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Loja Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loja Santa Fe
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Loja
1:0
Nov 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Santa Fe
1:2
Feb 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Loja vs Santa Fe
1:0
Sep 14, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs Loja
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loja 36 / 100
Santa Fe 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loja Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Loja's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Loja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loja VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Loja

(Home)
22 Aug
Loja
1 : 4
Huetor Tajar
09 Sept
Loja
0 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
18 Aug
Loja
2 : 0
Antequera
03 Aug
Loja
0 : 1
Torremolinos
06 Jun
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Loja
Page 1 of 7

Santa Fe

(Away)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Estepona CF 38 27 6 5 87:36 87
2 Almeria B 38 25 7 6 86:36 82
3 Motril 38 22 12 4 73:38 78
4 Malaga B 38 19 11 8 66:31 68
5 CD Baza 38 18 11 9 57:33 65
6 Comarca 38 18 6 14 51:41 60
7 Ejido 2 38 16 9 13 58:47 57
8 Velez 38 15 11 12 57:50 56
9 Loja 38 14 8 16 29:40 50
10 Granada Atletico Club de Futbol 38 14 7 17 44:52 49
11 Ciudad de Vicar 38 13 9 16 58:60 48
12 CD Ronda 38 13 9 16 51:55 48
13 CD Alhaurino 38 12 10 16 57:59 46
14 Arenas Armilla 38 10 14 14 41:44 44
15 Santa Fe 38 12 7 19 51:67 43
16 Adra 38 11 9 18 40:65 42
17 Vera CD 38 12 5 21 35:61 41
18 CP Granada 74 38 8 12 18 48:66 36
19 CD Imperio de Albolote 38 8 4 26 28:77 28
20 Melilla B 38 7 5 26 27:86 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)