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Lok. Plovdiv II vs Botev II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lok. Plovdiv II
30%
Draws
39%
Botev II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Botev II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Botev II average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Lok. Plovdiv II's 1.14.
  • Lok. Plovdiv II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lok. Plovdiv II have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 12%
Botev II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv II Botev II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.14 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Botev II
2:2
Apr 24, 2024 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Botev II
2:0
Sep 27, 2023 Third League - South-East
Botev II vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv II 83 / 100
Botev II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv II Botev II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv II found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Botev II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Lok. Plovdiv II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv II VS Botev II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv II

(Home)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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Botev II

(Away)
26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3
Botev II
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Botev II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)