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Lok. Plovdiv vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Iliev Y.
62' Event
Fase A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lok. Plovdiv and Arda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lok. Plovdiv
30%
Draws
23%
Arda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Arda's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Lok. Plovdiv have produced (1).
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Lok. Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 68%
Arda Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Arda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Plovdiv vs Arda
2:0
Aug 24, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Arda
0:1
Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Lok. Plovdiv vs Arda
2:0
May 16, 2026 efbet League
Arda vs Lok. Plovdiv
4:0
May 8, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Arda
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Iliev Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fase A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Arda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 95 / 100
Arda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Arda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Plovdiv's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Arda has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Lok. Plovdiv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Arda
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
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Arda

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1
Arda
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
31 Aug
Arda
2 : 0
Botev Vratsa
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