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Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Longville C.
21' Event
Leijten R.
Assist: Umarbaev P.
46'
Sub
Barandas M. In: Kolev A.
Out: Barandas M.

AI Match Summary

Lok. Plovdiv in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lok. Plovdiv
30%
Draws
39%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cherno More

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv have won more games recently than Cherno More.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Plovdiv's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Leijten R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cherno More Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 42 / 100
Cherno More 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Lok. Plovdiv scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Lok. Plovdiv has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Cherno More
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Cherno More

(Away)
19 Sept
Arda
1 : 1
Cherno More
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)