Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
Lok. Plovdiv Logo

Lok. Plovdiv

0 - 1
FT
Cherno More Logo

Cherno More

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Tonev D. In: Sidney C.
Out: Tonev D.
15'
Sub
Ruskov M. In: Ryan L.
Out: Ruskov M.
36'
Sub
Umarbaev P. In: Chorbadzhiyski G. B.
Out: Umarbaev P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The efbet League 2025/2026 game between Lok. Plovdiv and Cherno More finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cherno More.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lok. Plovdiv
15%
Draws
42%
Cherno More
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lok. Plovdiv a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 19%
Cherno More Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:0
May 12, 2026 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
0:1
Feb 15, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Cherno More
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 efbet League
Cherno More vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 36 / 100
Cherno More 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Cherno More

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Cherno More lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Lok. Plovdiv scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Cherno More
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2
Dunav Ruse
07 Aug
Levski Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Cherno More

(Away)
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1
Cherno More
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1
Dunav Ruse
14 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 : 1
Cherno More
09 Aug
Cherno More
2 : 3
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Lok. Plovdiv 36 14 13 9 36:41 55
6 Arda 36 15 9 12 42:34 54
7 Cherno More 36 14 12 10 40:34 54
8 Botev Plovdiv 36 13 7 16 49:45 46
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)