Sport Picks
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv 
Match Events
10'
10'
Umarbaev P.
Assist: Burban J.
18'
18'
Pittas I.
Assist: Pastor
43'
43'
Ryan L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CSKA Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Plovdiv.
- Model gives CSKA Sofia a 38% chance of winning this.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 12%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lok. Plovdiv | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 25 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
May 20, 2026 Bulgarian Cup
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:2
Dec 3, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lok. Plovdiv Compare
Top Goalscorer Umarbaev P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Pittas I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
CSKA Sofia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lok. Plovdiv CSKA Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lok. Plovdiv's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
CSKA Sofia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Lok. Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lok. Plovdiv VS CSKA Sofia
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lok. Plovdiv
(Home) 10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0 Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0 Cherno More
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1 Arda
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 3
CSKA Sofia
(Away) 20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 5
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:13 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
