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Lok. Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Hristo Bonev, Plovdiv
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Longville C.
Assist: Ryan L.
12'
Ryan L.
16'
Predev S.

AI Match Summary

Dunav Ruse in this efbet League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunav Ruse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lok. Plovdiv
30%
Draws
23%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lok. Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Lok. Plovdiv taking it.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Plovdiv Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
1:2
Oct 28, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:2
Dec 9, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Plovdiv
0:3
Aug 19, 2019 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
3:1
Apr 19, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Lok. Plovdiv
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lok. Plovdiv Compare

Top Goalscorer Longville C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dunav Ruse Compare

Top Goalscorer Boychev K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Plovdiv 42 / 100
Dunav Ruse 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Plovdiv Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunav Ruse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Dunav Ruse registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Lok. Plovdiv's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Plovdiv VS Dunav Ruse
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Plovdiv

(Home)
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
24 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
0 : 1
Arda
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Dunav Ruse

(Away)
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)