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Lok. Skopje vs Vardar

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2022/2023
Lok. Skopje Logo

Lok. Skopje

1 - 2
FT
Vardar Logo

Vardar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vardar in this 2. MFL 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vardar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lok. Skopje
15%
Draws
21%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Skopje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lok. Skopje haven't matched Vardar's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lok. Skopje a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Vardar here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lok. Skopje Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Skopje Vardar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2
Goals Conceded 1.37 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 2. MFL
Lok. Skopje vs Vardar
1:2
Oct 1, 2022 2. MFL
Vardar vs Lok. Skopje
2:0
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Lok. Skopje vs Vardar
0:3
Aug 31, 2017 Macedonian Cup
Lok. Skopje vs Vardar
1:4
Feb 25, 2014 Club Friendly
Lok. Skopje vs Vardar
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Skopje 95 / 100
Vardar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Skopje Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Skopje Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lok. Skopje's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lok. Skopje went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vardar's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vardar
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Skopje

(Home)
13 May
Lok. Skopje
2 : 0
Besa 1976
09 May
Kamenica Sasa
2 : 1
Lok. Skopje
06 May
Pelister
2 : 1
Lok. Skopje
29 Apr
Lok. Skopje
3 : 0
Karaorman Struga
26 Apr
Borec
0 : 3
Lok. Skopje
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Vardar

(Away)
16 Aug
Struga
1 : 0
Vardar
09 Aug
Vardar
0 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
28 Jul
Riga FC
5 : 2
Vardar
25 Jul
Vardar
2 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
22 Jul
Vardar
2 : 3
Riga FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Voska Sport 30 23 6 1 84:25 75
2 KF Gostivar 30 23 7 0 71:11 73
3 Vardar 30 19 6 5 55:20 63
4 Pelister 30 17 7 6 64:26 58
5 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 8 8 43:35 50
6 Besa 1976 30 15 3 12 43:29 48
7 Ohrid 30 12 5 13 31:35 41
8 Arsimi 30 12 4 14 41:35 40
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 10 6 14 40:54 36
10 Belasica Strumica 30 10 5 15 36:47 35
11 Karaorman Struga 30 9 7 14 30:40 34
12 Kamenica Sasa 30 8 7 15 31:49 31
13 Teteks 30 9 4 17 31:78 31
14 Lok. Skopje 30 8 6 16 35:41 30
15 Sloga Vinica 30 6 7 17 26:47 25
16 Borec 30 0 2 28 13:102 2
Promotion - 1. MFL 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2022/2023 (Relegation)