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Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Sofia host Botev Plovdiv in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Botev Plovdiv have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Lok. Sofia have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.46. Head-to-head, Lok. Sofia have won 2 to Botev Plovdiv's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 21, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Botev Plovdiv. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lok. Sofia
15%
Draws
48%
Botev Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botev Plovdiv lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Sofia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 13%
Botev Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Botev Plovdiv
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.46 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
3:1
Dec 6, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
3:2
Aug 10, 2025 efbet League
Botev Plovdiv vs Lok. Sofia
0:1
Apr 18, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 31 / 100
Botev Plovdiv 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Botev Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Plovdiv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lok. Sofia scored in 85% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Lok. Sofia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Botev Plovdiv let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Botev Plovdiv
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

Botev Plovdiv

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Sept
Arda
2 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
30 Aug
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 3
Levski Sofia
24 Aug
Botev Vratsa
1 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)