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Lok. Sofia vs Botev Vratsa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lok. Sofia host Botev Vratsa in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Lok. Sofia have averaged 1.44 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Botev Vratsa's 1.19 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Lok. Sofia have won 2 to Botev Vratsa's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 5, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.25, favoring Botev Vratsa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lok. Sofia
35%
Draws
25%
Botev Vratsa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lok. Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botev Vratsa lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Sofia.
  • Model gives Lok. Sofia a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Botev Vratsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lok. Sofia Botev Vratsa
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.44 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
2:2
Apr 14, 2026 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Sofia
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
0:1
May 7, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
3:0
Feb 14, 2025 efbet League
Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Sofia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lok. Sofia 58 / 100
Botev Vratsa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lok. Sofia Botev Vratsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Botev Vratsa has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Lok. Sofia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lok. Sofia VS Botev Vratsa
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lok. Sofia

(Home)
10 Oct
Lok. Sofia
1 : 1
Lok. Plovdiv
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
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Botev Vratsa

(Away)
10 Oct
Botev Vratsa
0 : 1
Spartak Varna
03 Oct
Slavia Sofia
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0
Levski Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Botev Plovdiv 11 6 1 4 17:14 19
6 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
7 Spartak Varna 11 3 4 4 11:15 13
8 Slavia Sofia 11 2 5 4 9:9 11
9 Botev Vratsa 11 2 3 6 9:20 9
10 Lok. Plovdiv 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
11 Lok. Sofia 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
12 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
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